This isn’t really a blog, it’s more a list of things that have popped into my mind lately, a random train of thought if you will.
Scotland v Ireland should be all about which front row can get the upper hand and Ireland have 2 props who are nudging the 19 stone mark and a hooker who is an excellent scrummager. You’d imagine Rory Best will get the chance to captain the Lions in the summer and if he can find his line-out throwing accuracy it could even be in the Test series. However (and it’s a big however) Romain Poite is reffing and he’s not known for facilitating flowing rugby, so even if Ireland can generate momentum through their pack it may well be negated by the whistle. If it does become a staccato whistle-fest then Scotland have the individual brilliance to create unlikely tries, with Finn Russell, Sean Maitland and Stuart Hogg (Russell and Hogg could nail down Lions shirts in this game, but both are well known <by me and a few others at least, if not the TV commentators> to be wildly inconsistent when it matters) starting and Mark Bennett and Ali Price on the bench Ireland could be in for a torrid time if it becomes fast and loose. And if the Irish pack can’t keep a choke-hold on the game then the Scottish front row will come into their own because they may not be as powerful as their green shirted counterparts but Zander Fagerson and Fraser Brown in particular can maraude around a rugby pitch like few others can, this could be a real Lions trial for front rowers.
England and France should be much less interesting mainly because England come off the back of an undefeated 12 months (13 wins) and France only won 4 of their Test matches last season. However England didn’t start their Autumn Tests very well, early in games they missed kicks and managed to pick up a red card early against Argentina. France on the other tend to fade in the last 20 minutes so if they can capitalise early on and open a 2 or 3 try lead then it will be a true test for a England, a test of how they perform under pressure. If France start slowly too then there’s a chance they could be blown away and out of the game by the 50 minute mark. The real Wildcard in this game though is referee Angus Gardner who refereed Rosslyn Park last week where Eddie Jones was spotted keeping a beady eye on him. The thing about the new high tackle directive is that each referee had struggled to adapt it’s use to their own personal style and since the directive was put in place for the new Super Rugby season which hasn’t started yet Gardner has had minimal time to get to grips with it. Either he’ll ignore it completely which has been a Pro 12 adaptation of the new directive, or he’ll get himself in a right old tizzy and he and the TMO will watch every single contact on the big screen ad infinitum, which has been the approach a few Aviva Premiership referee’s have taken.
Another point of interest at Twickenham will be how England adapt to not having Mako Vunipola (Wales have the same issue without Gethin Jenkins) often the loose-head will take the ball at first receiver to give George Ford more time to assess the defence and Mako is very good at offloading in contact, or carrying effectively or distributing the ball out the back to the backs. I’m not sure they’ve got another tight 5 forward who can do that, so they may have to use the backrower’s and that may effect the speed of their ruck ball. How the officials interpret Joe Marler’s scrummaging will be interesting (to me at least, I don’t get out much you see) there hasn’t been a concerted PR effort to tell everyone that he drives straight this time and he’s starting against the behemoth Uini Atonio, who is not only a gargantuan 21 and a half stones (!) but he’s also 6 feet 5 inches tall, so any slight angle will be exacerbated with a huge body opposite. Another thing I’ll be looking for is how Elliott Daly approaches kick chases, his last one in an England shirt saw him sent off as he didn’t jump and he ran into the player who had jumped and claimed the ball.