Wildly optimistic. With just a dash of realism.

I read a tweet that said six of the Lions starting against the Crusaders could start the 1st Test, but that seems unlikely. Six of tomorrow’s starting pack alone could realistically start the 1st Test! And probably 5 of the backline lining up tomorrow could be 1st Test starters too, so Gatland means business and as the jetlag begins to fade so do the potential excuses.

While I’m not expecting a Lions win in Canterbury I am at least hoping for a bit more purpose and aggression than they’ve displayed so far. Not that roughing up New Zealanders will do anything but make even more determined to publicly embarrass you, but when the back row includes Peter O’Mahony and Sean O’Brien and a frustrated Alun-Wyn Jones is leading the side from the second row alongside George Kruis who will be champing at the bit to establish his Test credentials it’s not unreasonable to expect fireworks. The fascinating thing to me is how the entire pack seems to designed to maximise Taulupe Faletau’s ability carry the ball in open space, the other 7 forwards are all good ball carriers too, but they’ll be hitting as many rucks as humanly possible to get quick ball so Farrell can unleash a backline with strike runners like Te’o, Jonathan Davies and George North and the X-factor that is Faletau. 

Another fascinating area will be which forward pops up at first receiver, Mako Vunipola has done it for England and often plays as a playmaker for Saracens, but Jamie George is a dynamic carrier and good passer, Tadgh Furlong is a powerful carrier as his Sean O’Brien and any of those players carrying the ball should allow Farrell to play a bit wider and get Faletau into more space. 

For their part the Crusaders have amazing ball carriers in their front row too, Joe Moody has got all the skills to play in the backs, Codie Taylor is quicker than most outside backs and Owen Franks doesn’t mind the odd rumble now and again. Luke Romano and Sam Whitelock are arguably the two best Second Row’s in the world at the moment so Alun-Wyn and Kruis will definitely have to work to stand out in this game and in the backrow Jordan Taufua doesn’t know the meaning of “backward step” while Matt Todd will be bitterly disappointed to miss out on All Black selection, so plenty of points to prove all round!

I expect the Lions will finish a close second this week but if they can retain possession better than they have so far on tour they score a morale boosting win. The Crusaders haven’t lost a Super Rugby game all season though! 

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