If we learned 2 things on Saturday they were that Peter O’Mahony is a superhero undercover as a rugby player and that when you have to wait 12 years to play against the Lions even a team captained by Sam Whitelock can get stage fright. Alun-Wyn Jones might have been the captain on Saturday but O’Mahony has this uncanny knack of doing incredibly important things at incredibly important times and when a Lions scrum descended into an unsightly kerfuffle he made a bee-line for the biggest Crusader on the pitch just to prove a point. The Crusaders unbeaten run came to a juddering halt as they failed to score a try against a determined Lions defence and only managed a single penalty kick as they were downed 12-3. The Lions however also failed to cross the whitewash and whilst stifling defence and hoofing over penalties from anywhere near half way will put away a few Super Rugby teams it’s not going to strike fear into Steve Hansen and the All Blacks.
But they’re not playing the All Blacks for a week and a bit so there’s still time to iron out a few kinks (even if us pessimistic Welsh fans can see a pattern emerging, Rob Howley and “attack coach” are concepts that combine as well as engine oil and water do). A distinctly second string Lions get the chance to play in the green house that is the Forsyth-Barr stadium tomorrow and (if they can afford it) the local students will scream the house down. The conditions inside the swanky indoor stadium should provide the likes of Jack Nowell, Robbie Henshaw and Jonathan Joseph with an opportunity to show how they ended up being selected for this tour in first place. The Lions forwards should frankly rollover the Highlanders pack as they are comfortably bigger (somewhere around the 10 stone mark) and while the Highlanders have got some beef on the bench the Lions have got Dan Cole and Jack McGrath to bolster the front row and they both tip the scales at 18 plus stone!
The Highlanders will be without All Black mainstays Aaron and Ben Smith and while Lima Sopoaga and Waisake Naholo will be looking to make the most of any ball that falls their way (Tommy Seymour will definitely be on the receiving end of Sopoaga’s trademark kick passes and Jared Payne better hope his calf is 100% or he could end up looking very silly trying to cover the backfield). Liam Squire will be a big miss in the Highlanders’ back row as both a carrier and a fetcher at ruck time and while Gareth Evans and Luke Whitelock are both tough as nails and will work their collective socks off they are both over a stone lighter than their opposite numbers Haskell and Stander. Richard “Barracuda” Buckman is one of my favourite Super Rugby players, but he’s more at home in the Centre’s than at 15 and one of my other favourites Matt Faddes isn’t even in the Highlanders squad as Glasgow Warriors bound Tevita Lee gets a rare start.
It won’t be easy for the Lions and if they get drawn into trying to play expansive, fast, open rugby then the hefty pack will definitely be a hindrance and not a help and if it becomes a try scoring competition Naholo, Li and the explosive Fekitoa (who could headed to Toulouse next season) in midfield will do real damage. Both props on the Highlanders bench can make an impact; Aki Seiuli recently scored 2 tries in a Super Rugby match and Siua Halanukonuka scored a rather impressive try when he rumbled 30 metres down the middle of the field a few weeks back! But the Lions have Alun-Wyn Jones, Owen Farrell and Elliott Daly on the bench should a late rescue mission be needed.
The first 2 tour games were decided by 6 points and the last by 9 but this should be the highest scoring so far and I wouldn’t be surprised if it doesn’t end up as a points-fest. Lions by 12 for me