I haven’t actually watched New Zealand batter Samoa by 78 points yet, but I can have a jolly good guess at how it went down. Virtually all All Blacks games are the same – they play error free rugby and it completely freaks out the opposition who then proceed to make error after error and before you know it Steve Hansen’s fellas have waltzed out to an unassailable lead. And that’s one of the main reasons that I love New Zealand (the other is because Steve Hansen is the grumpiest man in sport. The coaching box could be filled with stripper’s and class A drugs and he’d still look like Wayne Bennett had just spilled his pint of Speights!), Sir Clive Woodward, Sir Ian McGeechan or any Knight of the realm who hasn’t played rugby for 40 years will gush over the intricate attacking formations or where Sonny Bill stands as they pack down an attacking scrum, buy it’s far more basic than that. The fact that the entire population of the land of the long white cloud are seemingly gifted enough to make Test rugby look like a game of touch in a local park is irrelevant, the All Blacks have the ability to concentrate for the entirety of a rugby match and for some reason nobody else does. Today Samoa had 54% of the territory and 55% of the possession and still didn’t score a single point! Now baring in mind I still haven’t seen it, so I’m assuming here, what mostly happened was Samoa committed turnovers and New Zealand scored tries with either 3 passes or 1 kick because they’re that ruthless. Samoa did commit 13 turnovers in the game but New Zealand committed 12 of their own, but Samoa don’t have the unfeasible amount of talent that the All Blacks do and once they missed 2 penalty kicks and went 12-0 down the confidence completely evaporated and the rest is very much history.
This result has been met with much doom and gloom by Lions fans and reporters alike but frankly the All Blacks would have met with more resistance in a training session so old smiley Steve won’t be best pleased, particularly bearing in mind the Lions have got to face up to the Maori All Blacks tomorrow and that will be brutal.
The only one area where the Lions could have an edge is in the forwards and if (that’s an absolutely huge “if” by the way) the Lions are to stand any chance of winning the first Test they will need to be near perfect tomorrow. Rieko Ioane has already lead the Lions a merry dance on this tour and while he won’t have Jack Nowell and his imploding self-confidence trying to stop him this week the 20 y old won’t need much time and space to add to his try tally against the tourists.
Knowing how predictable the Lions attacking tactics have been so far they’ll want to run down Damian McKenzie’s 10 channel but anyone who tries that too often will only end becoming the meat in an Elliott Dixon and Charlie Ngatai sandwich and the Lions have already got enough injured players. Ngatai versus Ben Te’o should be fascinating, if only because Ben Te’o running into anyone is fascinating, if Ben remembers to strap on his passing hands tomorrow then Jonathan Davies might be able to give Matt Proctor a few issues but you don’t get to be a Hurricane if you can’t soak up a bit of physicality.
The only way the Lions can win this one is if they can starve the Maori’s devastating backline of possession and as the All Blacks showed this morning World class teams can win when they lose the possession battle. My Superbru prediction was the Lions to win a nail-biter by 1 point and that’s not completely out of the question but I’m starting to lean more toward the Maori now. Potentially this game could be the springboard that propels the Lions onward to the Test series with a spring in their step, a real belief that everything is working as it should and it could serve as a warning to the All Blacks that next week won’t be so easy. Alternatively, if the Lions can’t fully concentrate for 80 plus minutes it could be a harbinger of just how far ahead New Zealand rugby players are psychologically (and that’s why I really don’t like them that much after all)